Putting Up Numbers· college football

Illinois

5–3 · 3–2 Big Ten · Bret Bielema, 6th season

Beat Maryland 20–17, Oct 31 · Next: vs Nebraska, Fri, Nov 6 · analysis

Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters

Against the closing line

Illinois has beaten the line in 1 of its last 4, by 0.9 points a game. Over the season it’s 0.9 a game under, 83rd of 136.

Of the 12 teams at 5–3 against a schedule this hard, Illinois’ −0.9 is 8th.

  • Purdue Oct 3, 2026 vs Purdue −16.5
  • Michigan State Oct 10, 2026 @ Michigan State −1.5
  • Oregon Oct 24, 2026 vs Oregon +21.5
  • Maryland Oct 31, 2026 @ Maryland 0.0

every game, with the line

Lately

  • Won 7 of its last 10count
    • Northwestern Nov 29, 2025 vs Northwestern +7
    • Tennessee Dec 30, 2025 vs Tennessee +2
    • UAB Sep 3 vs UAB +19
    • Duke Sep 12 vs Duke −4
    • Southern Illinois Sep 19 vs Southern Illinois +38
    • Ohio State Sep 26 @ Ohio State −23
    • Purdue Oct 3 vs Purdue −7
    • Michigan State Oct 10 @ Michigan State +1
    • Oregon Oct 24 vs Oregon +11
    • Maryland Oct 31 @ Maryland +3
  • Won 7 of its last 10 at homecount
    • USC Sep 27, 2025 vs USC +2
    • Ohio State Oct 11, 2025 vs Ohio State −18
    • Rutgers Nov 1, 2025 vs Rutgers +22
    • Maryland Nov 15, 2025 vs Maryland +18
    • Northwestern Nov 29, 2025 vs Northwestern +7
    • UAB Sep 3 vs UAB +19
    • Duke Sep 12 vs Duke −4
    • Southern Illinois Sep 19 vs Southern Illinois +38
    • Purdue Oct 3 vs Purdue −7
    • Oregon Oct 24 vs Oregon +11
  • Beat 7 of its last 10 unranked opponentscount
    • Wisconsin Nov 22, 2025 @ Wisconsin −17
    • Northwestern Nov 29, 2025 vs Northwestern +7
    • Tennessee Dec 30, 2025 vs Tennessee +2
    • UAB Sep 3 vs UAB +19
    • Duke Sep 12 vs Duke −4
    • Southern Illinois Sep 19 vs Southern Illinois +38
    • Purdue Oct 3 vs Purdue −7
    • Michigan State Oct 10 @ Michigan State +1
    • Oregon Oct 24 vs Oregon +11
    • Maryland Oct 31 @ Maryland +3

every kind

Against expected,

Against expected, this season, a game
a gameoffensedefense
Points+0.3 · 61st+0.4 · 67th
Total yards+16 · 51st+22 · 86th
Touchdowns0.0 · 64th+0.2 · 80th
Passing efficiency+13.9 · 35th+20.2 · 119th
3rd downs+6.4% · 25th+7.5% · 117th
Turnovers−0.5 · 17th−0.5 · 116th
Sacks−1.0 · 16th−1.1 · 125th
Penalty yards−21.5 · 6th

Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.

every stat, every team

Seasons

Method

  • Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
  • A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
  • Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
  • Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.