Putting Up Numbers· college football

Middle Tennessee @ Kansas

Sat, Oct 3, 2026

Kansas 55, Middle Tennessee 0Kansas was favored by 21, and Kansas covered.

Middle Tennessee at Kansas: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameMiddle Tennessee1 gameKansas1 game
Points−26.0+25.2
Points allowed+28.8−23.1
Total offense, yards−246+327
Total defense, yards+305−212
Touchdowns−3.0+3.5
Passer rating−72.8+8.3
Third downs−29.5%+19.6%
Sacks−1.9−0.8
Penalty yards−46.4−5.5
Turnovers forced−1.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2−1.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Kansas

Middle Tennessee

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Kansas

  • Kansas was 4.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 100th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+34.0 against the line this game.

Middle Tennessee

  • Middle Tennessee was 4.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 38th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−34.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Kansas had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Kansas’ points were 18.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.9 over expected.
  • Middle Tennessee had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, Middle Tennessee’s carries were 8.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.2 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 3, 2026at KansasKansas 55, Middle Tennessee 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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