Arkansas State @ 
Louisiana
Louisiana 23, Arkansas State 20Louisiana was favored by 5, and Arkansas State covered.
| a game | Arkansas State1 game | Louisiana1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −2.1 | −8.1 |
| Points allowed | −6.8 | −4.8 |
| Total offense, yards | −48 | +27 |
| Total defense, yards | +56 | −68 |
| Touchdowns | −0.7 | −2.0 |
| Passer rating | +2.8 | +15.3 |
| Third downs | +9.2% | +8.5% |
| Sacks | −1.8 | −2.3 |
| Penalty yards | −45.2 | −27.3 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.3 | −0.2 |
Who put up numbers
Louisiana
- Passing yardsLunch Winfield189 passing yards
- Rushing yardsJJ Garner78 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsLunch Winfield1 rushing touchdown
Arkansas State
Analysis
Louisiana
- Louisiana had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Louisiana had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Louisiana was 10.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 15th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−2.0 against the line this game.
Arkansas State
- Arkansas State was 0.6 points a game under the closing line this season, 75th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+2.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Louisiana leads the series 28–17 since 1973. Louisiana has won the last 3. Louisiana has won 7 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Louisiana had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Louisiana had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against an unranked opponent, Louisiana’s carries were 10.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.6 over expected.
- At home, Louisiana’s carries were 9.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.6 over expected.
- On the road, Arkansas State’s penalty yards were 29.6 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 44.7 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | at Louisiana | Louisiana 23, Arkansas State 20 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | at Arkansas State | Louisiana 34, Arkansas State 30 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | at Louisiana | Louisiana 55, Arkansas State 19 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | at Arkansas State | Arkansas State 37, Louisiana 17 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | at Louisiana | Louisiana 38, Arkansas State 18 |
| Oct 21, 2021 | at Arkansas State | Louisiana 28, Arkansas State 27 |
| Nov 7, 2020 | at Louisiana | Louisiana 27, Arkansas State 20 |
| Oct 17, 2019 | at Arkansas State | Louisiana 37, Arkansas State 20 |
| Oct 27, 2018 | at Louisiana | Louisiana 47, Arkansas State 43 |
| Oct 19, 2017 | at Arkansas State | Arkansas State 47, Louisiana 3 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.