Akron @ Central Michigan

Sat, Oct 3, 2026

Central Michigan 41, Akron 17Central Michigan was favored by 6.5, and Central Michigan covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Central Michigan’s penalty yards were 31.8 higher after a bye than on a normal week against expected over its last 25 games, 3rd of 93 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 20.6 over expected.
Central Michigan was 6.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 116th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+17.5 against the line this game.

Akron was 3.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 90th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−17.5 against the line this game.

Central Michigan leads the series 19–8–1 since 1977. Central Michigan has won 6 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

Central Michigan had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Central Michigan had covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
At home, Central Michigan’s carries were 23.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.2 over expected.
Against an unranked opponent, Central Michigan’s pass attempts were 13.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.6 under expected.
On the road, Akron’s pass attempts were 4.7 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.6 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.