Putting Up Numbers· college football

Ohio @ Akron

Wed, Nov 4 · InfoCision Stadium

The line has it Ohio 32, Akron 19.Ohio −13, total 51.5, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

Ohio at Akron: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameOhio8 gamesAkron8 games
−1.1−10.9
+3.7+12.8
−50−51
+29+103
−0.5−1.3
−0.6−20.5
+7.5%−0.1%
+0.1−1.7
−19.4+13.9
−0.4−0.4
+0.3+1.0

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Akron

  • Akron has lost 6 straight.streakthe runs →
  • Akron is 6.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 125th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Ohio

  • Ohio has beaten 5 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →
  • Ohio has won 5 straight.streakthe runs →
  • Ohio has won 17 straight at home, the longest active home winning streak in FBS.streakthe runs →
  • Ohio is 3.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 35th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

  • Ohio leads the series 23–10 since 1992. Ohio has won the last 7.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Akron is 2–5 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
  • Without Brayden Roggow, Akron’s points of margin are 26.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Without Sean Patrick, Akron’s passing yards are 47.6 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • At home, Akron’s pass attempts are 6.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Ohio is 3–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
  • Without Duncan Brune, Ohio’s third-down conversion rate are 25.3% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Without Matt Vezza, Ohio’s penalty yards are 24.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Without Nick Poulos, Ohio’s passing yards are 61.2 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 28, 2024at OhioOhio 30, Akron 10
Nov 24, 2023at AkronOhio 25, Akron 14
Oct 8, 2022at OhioOhio 55, Akron 34
Oct 2, 2021at AkronOhio 34, Akron 17
Nov 10, 2020at OhioOhio 24, Akron 10
Nov 26, 2019at AkronOhio 52, Akron 3
Nov 23, 2018at OhioOhio 49, Akron 28
Nov 14, 2017at AkronAkron 37, Ohio 34
Nov 22, 2016at OhioOhio 9, Akron 3
Oct 3, 2015at AkronOhio 14, Akron 12

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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