Penn State @ 
Northwestern
Northwestern 34, Penn State 13Penn State was favored by 3, and Northwestern covered.
| a game | Penn State1 game | Northwestern1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −7.8 | +10.7 |
| Points allowed | +2.7 | −12.7 |
| Total offense, yards | −75 | +181 |
| Total defense, yards | +90 | −80 |
| Touchdowns | −0.4 | +1.4 |
| Passer rating | −18.6 | +3.9 |
| Third downs | −2.1% | +6.5% |
| Sacks | −1.2 | −1.0 |
| Penalty yards | +4.4 | +24.9 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.3 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.7 | −0.3 |
Who put up numbers
Northwestern
- Passing yardsAidan Chiles93 passing yards
- Rushing yardsCaleb Komolafe188 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsJoseph Himon II2 rushing touchdowns
Penn State
Analysis
Northwestern
- Northwestern’s carries were 11.0 higher at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 2nd of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 19.6 over expected.
- Northwestern had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Northwestern had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Northwestern had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
- Northwestern was 15.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 4th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+24.0 against the line this game.
Penn State
- Penn State was 1.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 68th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−24.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Penn State leads the series 16–7 since 1993. Northwestern has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Northwestern had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- In a conference game, Northwestern’s rushing yards were 123.1 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 262.3 over expected.
- At home, Northwestern’s points of margin were 20.5 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.8 over expected.
- Penn State had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Penn State had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Penn State had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Penn State was 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- In a conference game, Penn State’s passing yards were 119.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 18.4 over expected.
- On the road, Penn State’s penalty yards were 34.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.9 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | at Northwestern | Northwestern 34, Penn State 13 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | at Penn State | Northwestern 22, Penn State 21 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | at Northwestern | Penn State 41, Northwestern 13 |
| Oct 1, 2022 | at Penn State | Penn State 17, Northwestern 7 |
| Oct 7, 2017 | at Northwestern | Penn State 31, Northwestern 7 |
| Nov 7, 2015 | at Northwestern | Northwestern 23, Penn State 21 |
| Sep 27, 2014 | at Penn State | Northwestern 29, Penn State 6 |
| Oct 6, 2012 | at Penn State | Penn State 39, Northwestern 28 |
| Oct 22, 2011 | at Northwestern | Penn State 34, Northwestern 24 |
| Nov 6, 2010 | at Penn State | Penn State 35, Northwestern 21 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 1, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.