Western Kentucky @
New Mexico State
New Mexico State 34, Western Kentucky 13New Mexico State was favored by 1.5, and New Mexico State covered.
| a game | Western Kentucky1 game | New Mexico State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −12.9 | +0.9 |
| Points allowed | +11.4 | −7.0 |
| Total offense, yards | +3 | −63 |
| Total defense, yards | −11 | +11 |
| Touchdowns | −1.8 | −1.1 |
| Passer rating | −2.7 | −38.2 |
| Third downs | −0.3% | −22.5% |
| Sacks | −0.8 | +4.0 |
| Penalty yards | +26.4 | −25.6 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.2 | −0.2 |
Who put up numbers
New Mexico State
- Passing yardsAdam Damante146 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsAdam Damante1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsJames Jones155 rushing yards
Western Kentucky
Analysis
New Mexico State
- New Mexico State was 1.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 63rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+19.5 against the line this game.
Western Kentucky
- Western Kentucky was 8.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 125th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−19.5 against the line this game.
The series
- The series is tied 2–2 since 2023.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- New Mexico State had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- At home, New Mexico State’s total yards were 122.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 37.3 under expected.
- Western Kentucky had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Against an unranked opponent, Western Kentucky’s carries were 9.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.2 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | at New Mexico State | New Mexico State 34, Western Kentucky 13 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | at Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky 35, New Mexico State 16 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | at New Mexico State | Western Kentucky 41, New Mexico State 28 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | at Western Kentucky | New Mexico State 38, Western Kentucky 29 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.