Wake Forest @ 
Louisville
Wake Forest 30, Louisville 27Louisville was favored by 11, and Wake Forest covered.
| a game | Wake Forest1 game | Louisville1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +4.4 | +3.6 |
| Points allowed | −9.8 | −1.4 |
| Total offense, yards | −1 | +46 |
| Total defense, yards | −72 | −6 |
| Touchdowns | −0.1 | +0.3 |
| Passer rating | +46.0 | +15.9 |
| Third downs | −16.2% | +10.7% |
| Sacks | +2.3 | +1.3 |
| Penalty yards | +27.2 | +36.3 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −0.3 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.4 | −0.1 |
Who put up numbers
Louisville
- Passing yardsLincoln Kienholz324 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsLincoln Kienholz1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsKeyjuan Brown48 rushing yards
Wake Forest
Analysis
Louisville
- Louisville was 5.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 37th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−14.0 against the line this game.
Wake Forest
- Wake Forest was 0.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 77th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+14.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Louisville leads the series 7–4 since 2006.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Louisville had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Louisville had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- In a conference game, Louisville’s rushing yards were 104.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 118.8 under expected.
- Wake Forest had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against a ranked opponent, Wake Forest’s carries were 16.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.5 over expected.
- On the road, Wake Forest’s penalty yards were 14.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 22.3 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Louisville | Wake Forest 30, Louisville 27 |
| Oct 29, 2022 | at Louisville | Louisville 48, Wake Forest 21 |
| Oct 2, 2021 | at Wake Forest | Wake Forest 37, Louisville 34 |
| Dec 12, 2020 | at Louisville | Louisville 45, Wake Forest 21 |
| Oct 12, 2019 | at Wake Forest | Louisville 62, Wake Forest 59 |
| Oct 27, 2018 | at Louisville | Wake Forest 56, Louisville 35 |
| Oct 28, 2017 | at Wake Forest | Wake Forest 42, Louisville 32 |
| Nov 12, 2016 | at Louisville | Louisville 44, Wake Forest 12 |
| Oct 30, 2015 | at Wake Forest | Louisville 20, Wake Forest 19 |
| Sep 27, 2014 | at Louisville | Louisville 20, Wake Forest 10 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.