Putting Up Numbers· college football

UConn @ Miami (OH)

Sat, Sep 26, 2026

Miami (OH) 24, UConn 21Miami (OH) was favored by 2.5, and Miami (OH) covered.

UConn at Miami (OH): against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameUConn1 gameMiami (OH)1 game
Points−4.5−5.4
Points allowed−3.4−7.8
Total offense, yards+2+2
Total defense, yards+52−21
Touchdowns−0.2−0.7
Passer rating−24.3+38.9
Third downs+2.6%−2.2%
Sacks−1.5−1.1
Penalty yards+3.8−26.7
Turnovers forced−0.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.8−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Miami (OH)

UConn

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Miami (OH)

  • Miami (OH) was 3.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 98th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+0.5 against the line this game.

UConn

  • UConn was 13.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 7th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−0.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Miami (OH) had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Miami (OH) had covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • UConn had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, UConn’s third-down conversion rate were 22.1% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.3% over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at Miami (OH)Miami (OH) 24, UConn 21

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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