Texas @ 
Tennessee
Texas 20, Tennessee 17Texas was favored by 5.5, and Tennessee covered.
| a game | Texas1 game | Tennessee1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +1.8 | −6.8 |
| Points allowed | −14.9 | −6.3 |
| Total offense, yards | −45 | −113 |
| Total defense, yards | −190 | −73 |
| Touchdowns | 0.0 | −1.3 |
| Passer rating | +28.3 | −22.0 |
| Third downs | −11.1% | −12.9% |
| Sacks | +8.4 | +3.6 |
| Penalty yards | +55.0 | −1.5 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.4 | −1.2 |
Who put up numbers
Tennessee
- Passing yardsFaizon Brandon145 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsFaizon Brandon1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsDeSean Bishop34 rushing yards
Texas
Analysis
Tennessee
- Tennessee was 1.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 68th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+2.5 against the line this game.
Texas
- Texas had won 6 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
- Texas had won 12 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Texas had beaten 5 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Texas was 5.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 45th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−2.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Texas leads the series 3–1 since 1950. Texas has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Tennessee had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Tennessee had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- At home, Tennessee’s penalty yards were 44.4 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.2 over expected.
- Texas had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Texas had beaten 7 of its last 10 ranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against a ranked opponent, Texas’ penalty yards were 45.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 56.4 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Tennessee | Texas 20, Tennessee 17 |
| Jan 1, 1969 | neutral | Texas 36, Tennessee 13 |
| Jan 1, 1953 | neutral | Texas 16, Tennessee 0 |
| Jan 1, 1951 | neutral | Tennessee 20, Texas 14 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.