Texas @ Missouri

Sat, Nov 7 · Memorial Stadium · No. 10 at No. 19

The line has it Texas 23, Missouri 20.Texas −2.5, total 43, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

Texas at Missouri: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Texas8 games	Missouri8 games
	+3.9	+2.1
	−11.6	−8.1
	−12	+36
	−129	−38
	+0.4	0.0
	+16.2	+2.2
	−1.5%	+0.4%
	+1.3	+0.6
	+4.9	+12.6
	−0.1	+0.5
	+0.1	−0.7

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Missouri

Missouri has won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →
Missouri has beaten 29 straight unranked teams, tied for the longest active winning streak vs unranked teams in FBS.streakthe runs →
Missouri is 2.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 45th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Texas

Texas’ carries are 8.6 lower in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 134th of 134 teams.fact · rankedthe split →
Texas has beaten 5 straight ranked teams, the longest active winning streak vs ranked teams in FBS.streakthe runs →
Texas is 0.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 74th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

Texas leads the series 17–4 since 1901.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Missouri has won 7 of its last 10.countits form →
Without Donovan Olugbode, Missouri’s rushing yards are 115.5 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Since Xai'Shaun Edwards’ last game, Missouri’s passing yards are 81.6 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Against a top-10 opponent, Missouri’s passing yards are 125.4 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
Texas has won 8 of its last 10.countits form →
Texas has won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →
Texas is 3–5 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
Without Hollywood Smothers, Texas’ penalty yards are 68.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Without Derrek Cooper, Texas’ penalty yards are 43.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Since Colin Simmons’ last game, Texas’ penalty yards are 29.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Dec 27, 2017	neutral	Texas 33, Missouri 16
Nov 12, 2011	at Missouri	Missouri 17, Texas 5
Oct 24, 2009	at Missouri	Texas 41, Missouri 7
Oct 18, 2008	at Texas	Texas 56, Missouri 31
Oct 1, 2005	at Missouri	Texas 51, Missouri 20
Oct 16, 2004	at Texas	Texas 28, Missouri 20
Oct 27, 2001	at Missouri	Texas 35, Missouri 16
Oct 21, 2000	at Texas	Texas 46, Missouri 12
Oct 18, 1997	at Missouri	Missouri 37, Texas 29
Aug 31, 1996	at Texas	Texas 40, Missouri 10

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.