Putting Up Numbers· college football

Southern Miss @ Tulane

Sat, Sep 26, 2026

Tulane 24, Southern Miss 21Tulane was favored by 17.5, and Southern Miss covered.

Southern Miss at Tulane: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSouthern Miss1 gameTulane1 game
Points−4.2−9.9
Points allowed−0.2−2.4
Total offense, yards+9+5
Total defense, yards+95+34
Touchdowns+0.1−1.0
Passer rating+43.3−44.7
Third downs−21.7%−8.7%
Sacks+1.0+2.0
Penalty yards+37.5+1.8
Turnovers forced−0.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.3−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Tulane

Southern Miss

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Tulane

  • Tulane had won 8 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 9.
  • Tulane was 0.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 85th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−14.5 against the line this game.

Southern Miss

  • Southern Miss was 0.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 84th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+14.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Southern Miss leads the series 24–11 since 1979. Tulane has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Tulane had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, Tulane’s pass attempts were 9.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.1 under expected.
  • Southern Miss had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, Southern Miss’ total yards were 141.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 19.8 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at TulaneTulane 24, Southern Miss 21
Sep 16, 2023at Southern MissTulane 21, Southern Miss 3
Sep 24, 2022at TulaneSouthern Miss 27, Tulane 24
Sep 26, 2020at Southern MissTulane 66, Southern Miss 24
Jan 4, 2020neutralTulane 30, Southern Miss 13
Nov 6, 2010at TulaneSouthern Miss 46, Tulane 30
Oct 24, 2009at Southern MissSouthern Miss 43, Tulane 6
Nov 11, 2006at TulaneSouthern Miss 31, Tulane 3
Nov 26, 2005at Southern MissSouthern Miss 26, Tulane 7
Sep 25, 2004at TulaneSouthern Miss 32, Tulane 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.