South Florida @ 
Bowling Green
South Florida 14, Bowling Green 6South Florida was favored by 18, and Bowling Green covered.
| a game | South Florida1 game | Bowling Green1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −14.6 | −16.8 |
| Points allowed | −16.3 | −10.1 |
| Total offense, yards | −171 | −147 |
| Total defense, yards | −122 | −103 |
| Touchdowns | −1.3 | −2.5 |
| Passer rating | −36.3 | −45.2 |
| Third downs | −9.4% | −6.1% |
| Sacks | +1.0 | +4.1 |
| Penalty yards | −20.1 | +13.4 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | +0.7 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.8 | −1.2 |
Who put up numbers
Bowling Green
- Passing yardsJay Kastantin122 passing yards
- Rushing yardsAustyn Dendy48 rushing yards
- Receiving yardsWinn Sharp56 receiving yards
South Florida
Analysis
Bowling Green
- Bowling Green was 17.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 135th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+10.0 against the line this game.
South Florida
- South Florida’s total yards were 123.7 higher in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 132 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 119.6 under expected.
- South Florida had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- South Florida was 2.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 62nd of 135.fact · rankedits form →−10.0 against the line this game.
The series
- South Florida leads the series 2–0 since 2002. South Florida has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Bowling Green had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- South Florida had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- On the road, South Florida’s carries were 8.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.7 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Bowling Green | South Florida 14, Bowling Green 6 |
| Nov 16, 2002 | at South Florida | South Florida 29, Bowling Green 7 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.