Rice @
Fresno State
Fresno State 38, Rice 24Fresno State was favored by 12, and Fresno State covered.
| a game | Rice1 game | Fresno State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +2.5 | +4.9 |
| Points allowed | +10.5 | +5.1 |
| Total offense, yards | +84 | +66 |
| Total defense, yards | +108 | +136 |
| Touchdowns | +0.6 | +0.9 |
| Passer rating | −22.5 | +0.1 |
| Third downs | −1.9% | +3.4% |
| Sacks | −2.2 | −0.1 |
| Penalty yards | −29.4 | −38.0 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.7 | −1.1 |
Who put up numbers
Fresno State
- Passing yardsJayden Mandal210 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsJayden Mandal3 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsRayshon Luke167 rushing yards
Rice
Analysis
Fresno State
- Fresno State had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Fresno State was 7.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 24th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+2.0 against the line this game.
Rice
- Rice was 0.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 82nd of 135.fact · rankedits form →−2.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Fresno State leads the series 7–1 since 1999. Fresno State has won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Fresno State had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against an unranked opponent, Fresno State’s penalty yards were 22.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 29.2 under expected.
- Rice had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- On the road, Rice’s rushing yards were 104.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 151.7 over expected.
- At night, Rice’s third-down conversion rate were 25.6% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.7% over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Fresno State | Fresno State 38, Rice 24 |
| Dec 24, 2014 | neutral | Rice 30, Fresno State 6 |
| Nov 6, 2004 | at Rice | Fresno State 52, Rice 21 |
| Oct 25, 2003 | at Fresno State | Fresno State 31, Rice 28 |
| Sep 28, 2002 | at Rice | Fresno State 31, Rice 28 |
| Nov 3, 2001 | at Fresno State | Fresno State 52, Rice 24 |
| Oct 5, 2000 | at Rice | Fresno State 27, Rice 24 |
| Nov 6, 1999 | at Fresno State | Fresno State 47, Rice 18 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.