Northern Illinois @ 
Georgia State
Georgia State 35, Northern Illinois 14Georgia State was favored by 8.5, and Georgia State covered.
| a game | Northern Illinois1 game | Georgia State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −12.9 | −3.0 |
| Points allowed | +3.6 | −2.3 |
| Total offense, yards | +72 | −109 |
| Total defense, yards | −87 | +126 |
| Touchdowns | −1.3 | −0.5 |
| Passer rating | +5.4 | +41.0 |
| Third downs | −11.6% | +2.1% |
| Sacks | −1.7 | +3.6 |
| Penalty yards | −20.6 | −1.5 |
| Turnovers forced | +0.8 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.8 | +0.9 |
Who put up numbers
Georgia State
- Passing yardsCameran Brown148 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsCameran Brown2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsLanear McCrary Jr.111 rushing yards
Northern Illinois
Analysis
Georgia State
- Georgia State had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Georgia State was 15.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 6th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+12.5 against the line this game.
Northern Illinois
- Northern Illinois had lost 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
- Northern Illinois was 0.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 82nd of 135.fact · rankedits form →−12.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Georgia State leads the series 1–0 since 2026.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Georgia State had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Northern Illinois had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against an unranked opponent, Northern Illinois’ penalty yards were 42.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 18.3 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Georgia State | Georgia State 35, Northern Illinois 14 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.