Nebraska @ 
Michigan State
Nebraska 31, Michigan State 13Nebraska was favored by 6, and Nebraska covered.
| a game | Nebraska1 game | Michigan State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +6.4 | −10.0 |
| Points allowed | −10.3 | +4.5 |
| Total offense, yards | +20 | −78 |
| Total defense, yards | −71 | −19 |
| Touchdowns | +1.2 | −1.4 |
| Passer rating | +10.6 | −11.7 |
| Third downs | +8.1% | +4.3% |
| Sacks | +3.8 | −2.4 |
| Penalty yards | +8.3 | +5.0 |
| Turnovers forced | +1.8 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.1 | +1.8 |
Who put up numbers
Michigan State
- Passing yardsAlessio Milivojevic208 passing yards
- Rushing yardsJaziun Patterson54 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsJaziun Patterson1 rushing touchdown
Nebraska
Analysis
Michigan State
- Michigan State had covered 6 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Michigan State was 7.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 30th of 135, and 8.9 worse at home than away over its last 25, 130th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−12.0 against the line this game.
Nebraska
- Nebraska was 7.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 24th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+12.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Nebraska leads the series 11–3 since 1914. Nebraska has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Michigan State had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Michigan State had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- At home, Michigan State’s carries were 11.4 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.2 under expected.
- Nebraska had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Michigan State | Nebraska 31, Michigan State 13 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | at Nebraska | Nebraska 38, Michigan State 27 |
| Sep 25, 2021 | at Michigan State | Michigan State 23, Nebraska 20 |
| Nov 17, 2018 | at Nebraska | Nebraska 9, Michigan State 6 |
| Nov 7, 2015 | at Nebraska | Nebraska 39, Michigan State 38 |
| Oct 4, 2014 | at Michigan State | Michigan State 27, Nebraska 22 |
| Nov 16, 2013 | at Nebraska | Michigan State 41, Nebraska 28 |
| Nov 3, 2012 | at Michigan State | Nebraska 28, Michigan State 24 |
| Oct 29, 2011 | at Nebraska | Nebraska 24, Michigan State 3 |
| Dec 29, 2003 | neutral | Nebraska 17, Michigan State 3 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.