Putting Up Numbers· college football

Minnesota @ Washington

Sat, Sep 26, 2026

Minnesota 27, Washington 24Washington was favored by 12, and Minnesota covered.

Minnesota at Washington: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameMinnesota1 gameWashington1 game
Points+5.7−1.7
Points allowed−3.1+5.4
Total offense, yards−18−92
Total defense, yards−108+24
Touchdowns+0.60.0
Passer rating+28.3+13.1
Third downs−7.4%−27.6%
Sacks+4.6−0.9
Penalty yards+12.2−14.4
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.4+0.7

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Washington

Minnesota

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Washington

  • Washington had beaten 6 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Washington had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Washington was 15.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 132nd of 135.fact · rankedits form →−15.0 against the line this game.

Minnesota

  • Minnesota was 1.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 91st of 135, and 11.5 worse away than at home over its last 25, 129th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+15.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Minnesota leads the series 11–7 since 1936. Minnesota has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Washington had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Minnesota had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at WashingtonMinnesota 27, Washington 24
Oct 1, 1977at MinnesotaMinnesota 19, Washington 17
Oct 2, 1976at WashingtonWashington 38, Minnesota 7
Jan 2, 1961neutralWashington 17, Minnesota 7
Sep 27, 1958at WashingtonWashington 24, Minnesota 21
Sep 28, 1957at MinnesotaMinnesota 46, Washington 7
Sep 29, 1956at WashingtonMinnesota 34, Washington 14
Sep 24, 1955at MinnesotaWashington 30, Minnesota 0
Sep 27, 1952at WashingtonWashington 19, Minnesota 13
Sep 29, 1951at MinnesotaWashington 25, Minnesota 20

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.