Kennesaw State @ 
Arkansas State
Arkansas State 17, Kennesaw State 14Arkansas State was favored by 6.5, and Kennesaw State covered.
| a game | Kennesaw State1 game | Arkansas State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −13.4 | −13.2 |
| Points allowed | −12.3 | −7.2 |
| Total offense, yards | −65 | −46 |
| Total defense, yards | −13 | −12 |
| Touchdowns | −1.5 | −1.4 |
| Passer rating | −27.8 | +17.3 |
| Third downs | +14.4% | −0.7% |
| Sacks | −1.0 | −1.9 |
| Penalty yards | +9.6 | −3.5 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.3 | −1.2 |
Who put up numbers
Arkansas State
- Passing yardsTrey Owens244 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsTrey Owens1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsSolomon Baggett63 rushing yards
Kennesaw State
Analysis
Arkansas State
- Arkansas State was 0.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 78th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−3.5 against the line this game.
Kennesaw State
- Kennesaw State was 1.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 66th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+3.5 against the line this game.
The series
- The series is tied 1–1 since 2025.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Arkansas State had covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- At night, Arkansas State’s passing yards were 90.9 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 25.0 under expected.
- Kennesaw State had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Against an unranked opponent, Kennesaw State’s penalty yards were 45.3 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.1 over expected.
- On the road, Kennesaw State’s penalty yards were 26.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.1 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Arkansas State | Arkansas State 17, Kennesaw State 14 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | at Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State 28, Arkansas State 21 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.