Putting Up Numbers· college football

Delaware @ Virginia

Sat, Sep 26, 2026

Virginia 42, Delaware 3Virginia was favored by 19.5, and Virginia covered.

Delaware at Virginia: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameDelaware1 gameVirginia1 game
Points−22.0+12.6
Points allowed+16.8−23.6
Total offense, yards−214+144
Total defense, yards+204−226
Touchdowns−3.0+2.5
Passer rating−101.8+60.2
Third downs−9.8%+7.4%
Sacks+2.4+0.4
Penalty yards+22.8+4.4
Turnovers forced−0.3+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.9−0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Virginia

Delaware

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Virginia

  • Virginia had won 4 straight as the underdog.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Virginia had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Virginia was 3.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 56th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+19.5 against the line this game.

Delaware

  • Delaware had covered 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Delaware had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Delaware had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Delaware was 6.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 34th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−19.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Virginia had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Virginia had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Virginia had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At night, Virginia’s total yards were 101.4 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 166.5 over expected.
  • On the road, Delaware’s third-down conversion rate were 20.1% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.6% under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at VirginiaVirginia 42, Delaware 3

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.