Colorado State @ 
UTSA
UTSA 59, Colorado State 45UTSA was favored by 14, and the game pushed.
| a game | Colorado State1 game | UTSA1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +21.6 | +19.6 |
| Points allowed | +30.0 | +17.6 |
| Total offense, yards | +141 | +59 |
| Total defense, yards | +155 | +115 |
| Touchdowns | +2.3 | +2.2 |
| Passer rating | −1.0 | +32.9 |
| Third downs | −2.5% | +11.6% |
| Sacks | −0.6 | −0.3 |
| Penalty yards | +2.8 | −9.8 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.3 | −1.3 |
Who put up numbers
UTSA
- Passing yardsOwen McCown303 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsOwen McCown3 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsWill Henderson III89 rushing yards
Colorado State
Analysis
UTSA
- UTSA’s points were 21.1 higher at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 17.6 over expected.
- UTSA had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- UTSA was 4.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 50th of 135, and 19.3 better at home than away over its last 25, 1st of 136.fact · rankedits form →0.0 against the line this game.
Colorado State
- Colorado State was 11.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 15th of 135.fact · rankedits form →0.0 against the line this game.
The series
- The series is tied 2–2 since 2015. UTSA has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- UTSA had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- UTSA had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- UTSA had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against an unranked opponent, UTSA’s pass attempts were 5.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.6 over expected.
- Colorado State had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against an unranked opponent, Colorado State’s points allowed were 23.1 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.6 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at UTSA | UTSA 59, Colorado State 45 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | at Colorado State | UTSA 17, Colorado State 16 |
| Sep 10, 2016 | at Colorado State | Colorado State 23, UTSA 14 |
| Sep 26, 2015 | at UTSA | Colorado State 33, UTSA 31 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.