Central Michigan @ 
Miami (FL)
Miami (FL) 52, Central Michigan 3Miami (FL) was favored by 41, and Miami (FL) covered.
| a game | Central Michigan1 game | Miami (FL)1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −18.0 | +26.1 |
| Points allowed | +12.2 | −16.7 |
| Total offense, yards | −199 | +199 |
| Total defense, yards | +90 | −145 |
| Touchdowns | −2.7 | +3.7 |
| Passer rating | −21.3 | +65.0 |
| Third downs | +3.1% | +21.9% |
| Sacks | +0.4 | +1.9 |
| Penalty yards | −23.1 | +54.3 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.8 | −1.3 |
Who put up numbers
Miami (FL)
- Passing yardsDarian Mensah338 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsDarian Mensah3 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsChris Wheatley-Humphrey104 rushing yards
Central Michigan
Analysis
Miami (FL)
- Miami (FL) had beaten 6 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
- Miami (FL) had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Miami (FL) had won 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Miami (FL) was 5.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 37th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+8.0 against the line this game.
Central Michigan
- Central Michigan’s total yards were 101.7 higher at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 3rd of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 116.1 under expected.
- Central Michigan was 6.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 111th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−8.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Miami (FL) leads the series 2–0 since 2019. Miami (FL) has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Miami (FL) had won 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
- Miami (FL) had covered 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Miami (FL) had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- On the road, Central Michigan’s third-down conversion rate were 20.0% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.7% over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at Miami (FL) | Miami (FL) 52, Central Michigan 3 |
| Sep 21, 2019 | at Miami (FL) | Miami (FL) 17, Central Michigan 12 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.