Putting Up Numbers· college football

Miami (FL) @ Notre Dame

Sat, Nov 7 · Notre Dame Stadium · No. 1 at No. 4

The line has it Notre Dame 32, Miami (FL) 26.Notre Dame −5.5, total 57.5, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

Miami (FL) at Notre Dame: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameMiami (FL)8 gamesNotre Dame8 games
+18.7+13.5
−6.7−11.4
+115+69
−29−126
+2.6+1.7
+53.1+28.6
+15.8%+1.2%
+1.1−0.1
+11.0−25.5
+0.1+0.6
−0.8−0.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Notre Dame

  • Notre Dame has won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →
  • Notre Dame has beaten 22 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →
  • Notre Dame is 0.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 80th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Miami (FL)

  • Miami (FL) has won 7 straight on the road.streakthe runs →
  • Miami (FL) has won 8 straight.streakthe runs →
  • Miami (FL) has beaten 11 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →
  • Miami (FL) has won 7 straight at home.streakthe runs →
  • Miami (FL) is 3.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 36th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

  • Notre Dame leads the series 17–9–1 since 1955. Miami (FL) has won the last 2. Notre Dame has won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Notre Dame has won 9 of its last 10.countits form →
  • Notre Dame is 4–4 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
  • Without Leonard Moore, Notre Dame’s rushing yards are 125.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Against a ranked opponent, Notre Dame’s pass attempts are 17.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • At home, Notre Dame’s third-down conversion rate are 10.3% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Miami (FL) has covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →
  • Miami (FL) has beaten 7 of its last 10 ranked opponents.countits form →
  • Without Mark Fletcher Jr., Miami (FL)’s penalty yards are 52.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Since Girard Pringle Jr.’s last game, Miami (FL)’s penalty yards are 28.6 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Aug 31, 2025at Miami (FL)Miami (FL) 27, Notre Dame 24
Nov 11, 2017at Miami (FL)Miami (FL) 41, Notre Dame 8
Oct 29, 2016at Notre DameNotre Dame 30, Miami (FL) 27
Dec 31, 2010neutralNotre Dame 33, Miami (FL) 17
Oct 20, 1990at Notre DameNotre Dame 29, Miami (FL) 20
Nov 25, 1989at Miami (FL)Miami (FL) 27, Notre Dame 10
Oct 15, 1988at Notre DameNotre Dame 31, Miami (FL) 30
Nov 28, 1987at Miami (FL)Miami (FL) 24, Notre Dame 0
Nov 30, 1985at Miami (FL)Miami (FL) 58, Notre Dame 7
Oct 6, 1984at Notre DameMiami (FL) 31, Notre Dame 13

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.