Putting Up Numbers· college football

Ball State @ Kent State

Sat, Sep 26, 2026

Kent State 26, Ball State 13Kent State was favored by 2.5, and Kent State covered.

Ball State at Kent State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBall State1 gameKent State1 game
Points−16.8−11.0
Points allowed+7.8−7.5
Total offense, yards−187−101
Total defense, yards+40−126
Touchdowns−1.5−1.7
Passer rating−22.0−2.5
Third downs−5.0%−1.4%
Sacks−2.0+0.2
Penalty yards+1.6+58.0
Turnovers forced−1.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.2−1.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Kent State

Ball State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Kent State

  • Kent State was 4.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 104th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+10.5 against the line this game.

Ball State

  • Ball State was 4.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 100th of 135, and 11.2 worse away than at home over its last 25, 127th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−10.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Against an unranked opponent, Kent State’s penalty yards were 28.4 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 58.6 over expected.
  • Ball State had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Ball State’s penalty yards were 49.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.9 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at Kent StateKent State 26, Ball State 13
Nov 5, 2025at Ball StateBall State 17, Kent State 13
Oct 12, 2024at Kent StateBall State 37, Kent State 35
Nov 18, 2023at Ball StateBall State 34, Kent State 3
Nov 1, 2022at Kent StateBall State 27, Kent State 20
Nov 23, 2019at Kent StateKent State 41, Ball State 38
Sep 29, 2018at Ball StateBall State 52, Kent State 24
Oct 12, 2013at Ball StateBall State 27, Kent State 24
Sep 29, 2012at Kent StateKent State 45, Ball State 43
Oct 30, 2010at Kent StateKent State 33, Ball State 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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