Appalachian State @ 
NC State
NC State 41, Appalachian State 31NC State was favored by 12.5, and Appalachian State covered.
| a game | Appalachian State1 game | NC State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +6.4 | +15.3 |
| Points allowed | +11.4 | +8.6 |
| Total offense, yards | −3 | +70 |
| Total defense, yards | +66 | +17 |
| Touchdowns | +0.8 | +2.0 |
| Passer rating | +9.2 | +18.4 |
| Third downs | −2.1% | +28.3% |
| Sacks | −0.8 | −1.1 |
| Penalty yards | −31.6 | +17.7 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.2 | −0.3 |
Who put up numbers
NC State
- Passing yardsCJ Bailey253 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsCJ Bailey2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsJayden Scott148 rushing yards
Appalachian State
Analysis
NC State
- NC State had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- NC State had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
- NC State was 5.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 41st of 135.fact · rankedits form →−2.5 against the line this game.
Appalachian State
- Appalachian State was 9.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 18th of 135.fact · rankedits form →+2.5 against the line this game.
The series
- NC State leads the series 7–0 since 1932. NC State has won the last 7.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- On the road, Appalachian State’s carries were 13.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.1 under expected.
- At night, Appalachian State’s pass attempts were 10.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.2 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | at NC State | NC State 41, Appalachian State 31 |
| Sep 2, 2006 | at NC State | NC State 23, Appalachian State 10 |
| Sep 5, 1992 | at NC State | NC State 35, Appalachian State 10 |
| Oct 6, 1990 | at NC State | NC State 56, Appalachian State 0 |
| Nov 5, 1983 | at NC State | NC State 33, Appalachian State 7 |
| Oct 11, 1980 | at NC State | NC State 17, Appalachian State 14 |
| Sep 24, 1932 | at NC State | NC State 38, Appalachian State 0 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.