Putting Up Numbers· college football

SMU @ Louisville

Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · No. 16 at No. 23

Louisville 41, SMU 31Louisville was favored by 3, and Louisville covered.

SMU at Louisville: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSMU1 gameLouisville1 game
Points+5.5+15.5
Points allowed+5.4+2.5
Total offense, yards+83+120
Total defense, yards−2+70
Touchdowns+1.0+3.2
Passer rating−17.9+20.0
Third downs+0.5%−6.0%
Sacks−2.1+0.1
Penalty yards+24.2+52.6
Turnovers forced−1.2+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.7−1.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Louisville

SMU

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

SMU

  • SMU had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • SMU had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

If you squint

  • Louisville had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • SMU had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • SMU had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at LouisvilleLouisville 41, SMU 31
Nov 22, 2025at SMUSMU 38, Louisville 6
Oct 5, 2024at LouisvilleSMU 34, Louisville 27
Sep 15, 1984at LouisvilleSMU 41, Louisville 7
Sep 3, 1983at SMUSMU 24, Louisville 6

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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