Putting Up Numbers· college football

North Carolina @ Clemson

Sat, Sep 19, 2026

Clemson 28, North Carolina 20Clemson was favored by 3, and Clemson covered.

North Carolina at Clemson: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameNorth Carolina1 gameClemson1 game
Points−2.4+0.7
Points allowed+3.6−2.7
Total offense, yards−10−4
Total defense, yards+54+20
Touchdowns−0.6−0.3
Passer rating−45.6−4.4
Third downs−0.2%−3.5%
Sacks+0.2+0.6
Penalty yards−22.1−30.7
Turnovers forced+0.8+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.7+0.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Clemson

North Carolina

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Clemson leads the series 41–18–1 since 1903. Clemson has won the last 8.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, Clemson’s penalty yards were 40.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 30.1 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at ClemsonClemson 28, North Carolina 20
Oct 4, 2025at North CarolinaClemson 38, North Carolina 10
Nov 18, 2023at ClemsonClemson 31, North Carolina 20
Dec 3, 2022neutralClemson 39, North Carolina 10
Sep 28, 2019at North CarolinaClemson 21, North Carolina 20
Dec 5, 2015neutralClemson 45, North Carolina 37
Sep 27, 2014at ClemsonClemson 50, North Carolina 35
Oct 22, 2011at ClemsonClemson 59, North Carolina 38
Oct 9, 2010at North CarolinaNorth Carolina 21, Clemson 16
Sep 23, 2006at ClemsonClemson 52, North Carolina 7

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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