Nevada @ 
Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee 27, Nevada 20Nevada was favored by 4, and Middle Tennessee covered.
| a game | Nevada1 game | Middle Tennessee1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −8.6 | −0.1 |
| Points allowed | +2.1 | −0.7 |
| Total offense, yards | −135 | −16 |
| Total defense, yards | −28 | −67 |
| Touchdowns | −1.5 | +0.2 |
| Passer rating | −28.1 | −1.4 |
| Third downs | +0.3% | −8.7% |
| Sacks | −0.6 | −1.2 |
| Penalty yards | −1.7 | +25.9 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | +1.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +1.8 | −1.1 |
Who put up numbers
Middle Tennessee
- Passing yardsRoman Gagliano173 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsRoman Gagliano2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsAntonio Martin104 rushing yards
Nevada
Analysis
Middle Tennessee
- Middle Tennessee had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
The series
- Middle Tennessee leads the series 2–0 since 2025. Middle Tennessee has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Middle Tennessee had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Nevada had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | at Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee 27, Nevada 20 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | at Nevada | Middle Tennessee 14, Nevada 13 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.