Putting Up Numbers· college football

NC State @ Vanderbilt

Sat, Sep 19, 2026

Vanderbilt 35, NC State 31Vanderbilt was favored by 3, and Vanderbilt covered.

NC State at Vanderbilt: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameNC State1 gameVanderbilt1 game
Points+3.0+6.1
Points allowed+11.6+4.8
Total offense, yards+77+2
Total defense, yards+56+79
Touchdowns+0.8+0.3
Passer rating+15.2−7.8
Third downs+1.9%+2.4%
Sacks−2.3−1.0
Penalty yards+10.3+60.9
Turnovers forced+1.8+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.9+1.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Vanderbilt

NC State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Vanderbilt

  • Vanderbilt had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 10.

NC State

  • NC State had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • NC State had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

If you squint

  • Vanderbilt had beaten 9 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Vanderbilt had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at VanderbiltVanderbilt 35, NC State 31
Dec 26, 2016neutralNC State 41, Vanderbilt 17
Dec 31, 2012neutralVanderbilt 38, NC State 24
Nov 9, 1946at VanderbiltVanderbilt 7, NC State 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.