Putting Up Numbers· college football

Florida International @ Florida Atlantic

Sat, Sep 19, 2026

Florida Atlantic 16, Florida International 10Florida Atlantic was favored by 5, and Florida Atlantic covered.

Florida International at Florida Atlantic: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameFlorida International1 gameFlorida Atlantic1 game
Points−24.4−10.4
Points allowed−19.9−8.6
Total offense, yards−90−104
Total defense, yards−182+20
Touchdowns−3.6−2.0
Passer rating−56.2−21.8
Third downs+7.0%−0.6%
Sacks+1.2−0.9
Penalty yards+11.1+26.1
Turnovers forced−1.2+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.8−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Florida Atlantic

Florida International

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Florida Atlantic

  • Florida Atlantic’s penalty yards were 37.6 lower in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 132nd of 132 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 19.6 over expected.

The series

  • Florida Atlantic leads the series 16–5 since 2004. Florida Atlantic has won 7 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Florida Atlantic had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, Florida Atlantic’s passing yards were 83.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 96.4 under expected.
  • Florida International had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, Florida International’s pass attempts were 15.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.5 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic 16, Florida International 10
Sep 13, 2025at Florida InternationalFlorida International 38, Florida Atlantic 28
Sep 14, 2024at Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic 38, Florida International 20
Nov 12, 2022at Florida InternationalFlorida Atlantic 52, Florida International 7
Oct 2, 2021at Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic 58, Florida International 21
Nov 13, 2020at Florida InternationalFlorida Atlantic 38, Florida International 19
Nov 9, 2019at Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic 37, Florida International 7
Nov 3, 2018at Florida InternationalFlorida Atlantic 49, Florida International 14
Nov 18, 2017at Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic 52, Florida International 24
Oct 1, 2016at Florida InternationalFlorida International 33, Florida Atlantic 31

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.