Putting Up Numbers· college football

Bowling Green @ Iowa State

Sat, Sep 19, 2026

Iowa State 55, Bowling Green 7Iowa State was favored by 22.5, and Iowa State covered.

Bowling Green at Iowa State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBowling Green1 gameIowa State1 game
Points−21.1+25.4
Points allowed+28.9−11.0
Total offense, yards−222+121
Total defense, yards+144−112
Touchdowns−2.6+1.5
Passer rating−59.7−2.1
Third downs−23.0%−0.6%
Sacks−0.8−2.5
Penalty yards−13.8+1.0
Turnovers forced−0.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.8−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Iowa State

Bowling Green

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Iowa State

  • Iowa State had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.

Bowling Green

  • Bowling Green’s total yards were 68.2 lower at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 134th of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 102.6 under expected.

The series

  • Iowa State leads the series 3–0 since 1977. Iowa State has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Iowa State had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Bowling Green had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at Iowa StateIowa State 55, Bowling Green 7
Sep 15, 1979at Iowa StateIowa State 38, Bowling Green 10
Sep 24, 1977at Bowling GreenIowa State 35, Bowling Green 21

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next