Putting Up Numbers· college football

Arkansas State @ TCU

Sat, Sep 19, 2026

TCU 31, Arkansas State 7TCU was favored by 19, and TCU covered.

Arkansas State at TCU: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameArkansas State1 gameTCU1 game
Points−10.8+0.7
Points allowed+6.9−19.0
Total offense, yards−59+63
Total defense, yards+82−103
Touchdowns−1.0+0.2
Passer rating−33.1+53.6
Third downs−0.6%+8.5%
Sacks−1.5−0.1
Penalty yards−44.4−21.1
Turnovers forced−0.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.3−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

TCU

Arkansas State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • TCU leads the series 3–0 since 1999. TCU has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • TCU had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • TCU had covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Arkansas State had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Arkansas State had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at TCUTCU 31, Arkansas State 7
Sep 23, 2000at TCUTCU 52, Arkansas State 3
Sep 25, 1999at Arkansas StateTCU 24, Arkansas State 21

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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