Putting Up Numbers· college football

Syracuse @ Pittsburgh

Thu, Sep 17, 2026

Pittsburgh 27, Syracuse 13Pittsburgh was favored by 10.5, and Pittsburgh covered.

Syracuse at Pittsburgh: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSyracuse1 gamePittsburgh1 game
Points−8.5−3.0
Points allowed−3.7−14.3
Total offense, yards+3−22
Total defense, yards−63−51
Touchdowns−1.9−0.8
Passer rating−33.9−61.7
Third downs−2.0%+10.4%
Sacks+0.6−0.2
Penalty yards+37.7+13.0
Turnovers forced−0.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.7−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Pittsburgh

Syracuse

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Pittsburgh

  • Pittsburgh’s penalty yards were 37.9 lower after a bye than on a normal week against expected over its last 25 games, 117th of 117 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 10.4 over expected.
  • Pittsburgh had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Pittsburgh had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

  • Pittsburgh leads the series 46–32–3 since 1916. Pittsburgh has won the last 3. Pittsburgh has won 12 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Pittsburgh had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Pittsburgh had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Syracuse had lost 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Syracuse had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 17, 2026at PittsburghPittsburgh 27, Syracuse 13
Oct 18, 2025at SyracusePittsburgh 30, Syracuse 13
Oct 24, 2024at PittsburghPittsburgh 41, Syracuse 13
Nov 11, 2023neutralSyracuse 28, Pittsburgh 13
Nov 5, 2022at PittsburghPittsburgh 19, Syracuse 9
Nov 27, 2021at SyracusePittsburgh 31, Syracuse 14
Sep 19, 2020at PittsburghPittsburgh 21, Syracuse 10
Oct 18, 2019at SyracusePittsburgh 27, Syracuse 20
Oct 6, 2018at PittsburghPittsburgh 44, Syracuse 37
Oct 7, 2017at SyracuseSyracuse 27, Pittsburgh 24

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next