Putting Up Numbers· college football

Southern Miss @ Auburn

Sat, Sep 12, 2026

Auburn 43, Southern Miss 8Auburn was favored by 32.5, and Auburn covered.

Southern Miss at Auburn: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSouthern Miss1 gameAuburn1 game
Points−19.6+10.9
Points allowed+19.3−16.6
Total offense, yards−179+185
Total defense, yards+259−163
Touchdowns−2.1+0.1
Passer rating−24.4+16.2
Third downs−0.8%+5.4%
Sacks−2.4+2.0
Penalty yards+26.5+15.2
Turnovers forced−0.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.7−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Auburn

Southern Miss

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Auburn leads the series 19–5 since 1946. Auburn has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Auburn had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Auburn had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Auburn had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 12, 2026at AuburnAuburn 43, Southern Miss 8
Sep 29, 2018at AuburnAuburn 24, Southern Miss 13
Sep 6, 2008at AuburnAuburn 27, Southern Miss 13
Sep 25, 1993at AuburnAuburn 35, Southern Miss 24
Sep 26, 1992at AuburnAuburn 16, Southern Miss 8
Oct 5, 1991at AuburnSouthern Miss 10, Auburn 9
Nov 10, 1990at AuburnSouthern Miss 13, Auburn 12
Sep 16, 1989at AuburnAuburn 24, Southern Miss 3
Nov 5, 1988at AuburnAuburn 38, Southern Miss 8
Sep 14, 1985at AuburnAuburn 29, Southern Miss 18

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 11, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.