Navy @ 
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic 38, Navy 30Navy was favored by 4.5, and Florida Atlantic covered.
| a game | Navy1 game | Florida Atlantic1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −2.4 | +6.3 |
| Points allowed | +4.0 | +6.9 |
| Total offense, yards | −50 | +34 |
| Total defense, yards | +6 | +20 |
| Touchdowns | −0.3 | +1.2 |
| Passer rating | −30.3 | +85.3 |
| Third downs | −14.3% | +15.8% |
| Sacks | +1.2 | +0.3 |
| Penalty yards | +16.2 | +22.1 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.8 | −1.1 |
Who put up numbers
Florida Atlantic
- Passing yardsCaden Veltkamp386 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsCaden Veltkamp5 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsEthan Ervin67 rushing yards
Navy
Analysis
Florida Atlantic
- Florida Atlantic’s penalty yards were 37.1 lower in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 132nd of 132 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 20.5 over expected.
- Florida Atlantic had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
Navy
- Navy had won 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Navy had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Navy had won 7 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
The series
- Navy leads the series 3–1 since 2012.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Navy had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Navy had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | at Florida Atlantic | Florida Atlantic 38, Navy 30 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | at Navy | Navy 42, Florida Atlantic 32 |
| Sep 1, 2017 | at Florida Atlantic | Navy 42, Florida Atlantic 19 |
| Nov 3, 2012 | at Navy | Navy 24, Florida Atlantic 17 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 11, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.