Louisiana @ USC

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · Unranked at No. 14

USC 49, Louisiana 30USC was favored by 30.5, and Louisiana covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

USC’s points were 12.6 higher at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 2nd of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 17.7 over expected.
USC had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 10.

USC had beaten 9 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
USC had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
At night, USC’s points allowed were 26.6 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.7 over expected.

Date	Where	Score
Sep 12, 2026	at USC	USC 49, Louisiana 30

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 11, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.