Putting Up Numbers· college football

Bowling Green @ Nebraska

Sat, Sep 12, 2026

Nebraska 56, Bowling Green 7Nebraska was favored by 30.5, and Nebraska covered.

Bowling Green at Nebraska: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBowling Green1 gameNebraska1 game
Points−12.0+26.4
Points allowed+27.6−10.9
Total offense, yards−147+163
Total defense, yards+145−133
Touchdowns−0.9+3.7
Passer rating−11.2+62.0
Third downs−16.1%+23.3%
Sacks−1.1−0.3
Penalty yards−6.8+11.3
Turnovers forced−0.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.7−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Nebraska

Bowling Green

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Bowling Green

  • Bowling Green’s carries were 8.3 higher in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 2nd of 132 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 2.6 over expected.
  • Bowling Green’s total yards were 86.3 lower at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 134th of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 73.9 under expected.

The series

If you squint

  • Nebraska had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Bowling Green had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Bowling Green had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 12, 2026at NebraskaNebraska 56, Bowling Green 7

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 11, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.