Putting Up Numbers· college football

Appalachian State @ East Carolina

Sat, Sep 12, 2026

Appalachian State 27, East Carolina 24East Carolina was favored by 6.5, and Appalachian State covered.

Appalachian State at East Carolina: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameAppalachian State1 gameEast Carolina1 game
Points+3.3−3.4
Points allowed−1.3+4.3
Total offense, yards+47+19
Total defense, yards+57+35
Touchdowns+0.6−0.2
Passer rating+30.4−13.1
Third downs+0.5%−24.1%
Sacks0.00.0
Penalty yards+23.2+14.6
Turnovers forced+0.8−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.3+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

East Carolina

Appalachian State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

East Carolina

  • East Carolina had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.

The series

  • East Carolina leads the series 8–6 since 1972. Appalachian State has won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • East Carolina had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • East Carolina had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 12, 2026at East CarolinaAppalachian State 27, East Carolina 24
Sep 14, 2024at East CarolinaAppalachian State 21, East Carolina 19
Sep 16, 2023at Appalachian StateAppalachian State 43, East Carolina 28
Sep 2, 2021at Appalachian StateAppalachian State 33, East Carolina 19
Sep 1, 2012at East CarolinaEast Carolina 35, Appalachian State 13
Sep 5, 2009at East CarolinaEast Carolina 29, Appalachian State 24
Nov 3, 1979at East CarolinaEast Carolina 38, Appalachian State 21
Nov 4, 1978at Appalachian StateEast Carolina 33, Appalachian State 8
Nov 5, 1977at Appalachian StateEast Carolina 45, Appalachian State 14
Nov 20, 1976at East CarolinaEast Carolina 35, Appalachian State 7

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 11, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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