Texas State @ 
Texas
Texas 59, Texas State 7Texas was favored by 29.5, and Texas covered.
| a game | Texas State1 game | Texas1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −13.1 | +27.7 |
| Points allowed | +32.0 | −25.7 |
| Total offense, yards | +54 | +110 |
| Total defense, yards | +161 | −102 |
| Touchdowns | −0.7 | +3.2 |
| Passer rating | −6.1 | +59.6 |
| Third downs | +22.7% | +34.9% |
| Sacks | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Penalty yards | −27.5 | −24.0 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | +1.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +1.8 | −0.1 |
Who put up numbers
Texas
- Passing yardsArch Manning305 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsArch Manning4 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsHollywood Smothers70 rushing yards
Texas State
Analysis
Texas
- Texas had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 10.
Texas State
- Texas State had won 4 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Texas State had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Texas State had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
The series
- Texas leads the series 2–0 since 1930. Texas has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Texas had beaten 9 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
- Texas had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Texas State had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | at Texas | Texas 59, Texas State 7 |
| Sep 21, 1930 | at Texas | Texas 36, Texas State 0 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 4, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.