Putting Up Numbers· college football

Sam Houston @ Troy

Sat, Sep 5, 2026

Troy 24, Sam Houston 21Troy was favored by 16, and Sam Houston covered.

Sam Houston at Troy: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSam Houston1 gameTroy1 game
Points−3.4−5.3
Points allowed−0.6+4.1
Total offense, yards+20−42
Total defense, yards−36+63
Touchdowns+0.1−0.6
Passer rating+12.1+12.1
Third downs+6.0%+1.0%
Sacks+2.0+1.2
Penalty yards−21.9−0.7
Turnovers forced−1.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.3−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Troy

Sam Houston

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Troy had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Troy had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Sam Houston had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Sam Houston had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 5, 2026at TroyTroy 24, Sam Houston 21

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 4, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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