Putting Up Numbers· college football

Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State

Sun, Nov 8 · AmFirst Stadium

The line has it Jacksonville State 33, Sam Houston 16.Jacksonville State −16.5, total 48.5, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

Sam Houston at Jacksonville State: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameSam Houston8 gamesJacksonville State8 games
−15.1+0.7
+3.5−3.3
−109+45
−8−29
−1.9−0.1
−19.2+14.0
−8.0%+5.0%
0.0−0.3
+19.8−0.3
−0.4−0.6
−0.1+0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Jacksonville State

  • Jacksonville State has beaten 5 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →
  • Jacksonville State has won 5 straight.streakthe runs →
  • Jacksonville State has won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →
  • Jacksonville State is 2.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 40th of 136, and 11.7 better at home than away over its last 25, 9th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Sam Houston

  • Sam Houston has failed to cover 5 straight.streakthe runs →
  • Sam Houston has lost 5 straight.streakthe runs →
  • Sam Houston is 0.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 63rd of 136, and 13.4 worse away than at home over its last 25, 132nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

  • Jacksonville State leads the series 3–0 since 2023. Jacksonville State has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Jacksonville State has covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
  • Jacksonville State is 4–1–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
  • Without Jalen Likely, Jacksonville State’s pass attempts are 5.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • After a bye, Jacksonville State’s points allowed are 10.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • At home, Jacksonville State’s third-down conversion rate are 8.5% under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Sam Houston is 2–5 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
  • Since Landyn Locke’s last game, Sam Houston’s points are 23.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • In a conference game, Sam Houston’s penalty yards are 30.1 over expected in 4 games. A +35.6 difference in penalty yards over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 16 times in 100.thinthe split →
  • After a bye, Sam Houston’s rushing yards are 39.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 9, 2025neutralJacksonville State 29, Sam Houston 27
Nov 23, 2024at Jacksonville StateJacksonville State 21, Sam Houston 11
Sep 28, 2023at Sam HoustonJacksonville State 35, Sam Houston 28

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.