Putting Up Numbers· college football

Florida Atlantic @ Florida

Sat, Sep 5, 2026

Florida 66, Florida Atlantic 21Florida was favored by 26.5, and Florida covered.

Florida Atlantic at Florida: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameFlorida Atlantic1 gameFlorida1 game
Points−6.4+32.5
Points allowed+36.1−10.2
Total offense, yards+24+198
Total defense, yards+2490
Touchdowns−0.2+4.7
Passer rating−33.3+90.1
Third downs+10.0%+13.9%
Sacks−1.0−0.1
Penalty yards+33.4−22.8
Turnovers forced−0.2+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.8−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Florida

Florida Atlantic

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Florida Atlantic

  • Florida Atlantic’s penalty yards were 35.9 lower in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 132nd of 132 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 31.6 over expected.

The series

  • Florida leads the series 5–0 since 2007. Florida has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Florida had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Florida had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Florida had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Florida Atlantic had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 5, 2026at FloridaFlorida 66, Florida Atlantic 21
Sep 4, 2021at FloridaFlorida 35, Florida Atlantic 14
Nov 21, 2015at FloridaFlorida 20, Florida Atlantic 14
Sep 3, 2011at FloridaFlorida 41, Florida Atlantic 3
Nov 17, 2007at FloridaFlorida 59, Florida Atlantic 20

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 4, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.