Putting Up Numbers· college football

East Carolina @ Alabama

Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Unranked at No. 13

Alabama 48, East Carolina 10Alabama was favored by 28, and Alabama covered.

East Carolina at Alabama: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameEast Carolina1 gameAlabama1 game
Points−13.1+21.8
Points allowed+14.6−12.3
Total offense, yards−161+123
Total defense, yards+91−162
Touchdowns−1.4+2.3
Passer rating+2.1+0.1
Third downs−37.2%+17.4%
Sacks−1.5+0.9
Penalty yards+4.4−28.2
Turnovers forced−0.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.5−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Alabama

East Carolina

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Alabama

  • Alabama had beaten 6 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
  • Alabama had won 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

East Carolina

  • East Carolina had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

  • Alabama leads the series 2–0 since 1998. Alabama has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Alabama had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Alabama had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Alabama had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • East Carolina had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 5, 2026at AlabamaAlabama 48, East Carolina 10
Oct 17, 1998at AlabamaAlabama 23, East Carolina 22

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 4, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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