Putting Up Numbers· college football

Boise State @ Oregon

Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Unranked at No. 2

Oregon 34, Boise State 27Oregon was favored by 24.5, and Boise State covered.

Boise State at Oregon: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBoise State1 gameOregon1 game
Points+5.5+6.8
Points allowed+2.9−2.3
Total offense, yards−100+122
Total defense, yards+91−141
Touchdowns+0.4+1.0
Passer rating+8.3+44.8
Third downs−9.7%−3.8%
Sacks−0.6+1.8
Penalty yards−29.2+36.8
Turnovers forced−0.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.3−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Oregon

Boise State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Oregon

  • Oregon’s pass attempts were 8.3 higher vs a top-10 opponent than vs an unranked opponent against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 29 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 2.6 over expected.
  • Oregon had beaten 40 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 41.
  • Oregon had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Oregon had won 12 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

  • Boise State leads the series 3–2 since 2008. Oregon has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Oregon had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Oregon had won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Boise State had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 5, 2026at OregonOregon 34, Boise State 27
Sep 7, 2024at OregonOregon 37, Boise State 34
Dec 16, 2017neutralBoise State 38, Oregon 28
Sep 3, 2009at Boise StateBoise State 19, Oregon 8
Sep 20, 2008at OregonBoise State 37, Oregon 32

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 4, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.