Putting Up Numbers· college football

Baylor vs Auburn

Sat, Sep 5, 2026

Auburn 17, Baylor 16Auburn was favored by 6.5, and Baylor covered.

Baylor vs Auburn: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBaylor1 gameAuburn1 game
Points−13.1−3.0
Points allowed−6.9−12.6
Total offense, yards+56+21
Total defense, yards+30+46
Touchdowns−1.3−0.2
Passer rating−24.5−10.6
Third downs−8.7%+20.2%
Sacks+1.8−1.3
Penalty yards−19.5−9.1
Turnovers forced+1.8+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.7+1.7

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Auburn

Baylor

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Auburn leads the series 3–2–1 since 1954. Auburn has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Auburn had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Auburn had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Auburn had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Baylor had failed to cover 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 5, 2026neutralAuburn 17, Baylor 16
Aug 29, 2025at BaylorAuburn 38, Baylor 24
Sep 18, 1976at AuburnBaylor 15, Auburn 14
Sep 20, 1975at BaylorAuburn 10, Baylor 10
Sep 18, 1965at AuburnBaylor 14, Auburn 8
Dec 31, 1954neutralAuburn 33, Baylor 13

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 4, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.