Putting Up Numbers· college football

Arkansas State @ Memphis

Sat, Sep 5, 2026

Memphis 42, Arkansas State 24Memphis was favored by 10.5, and Memphis covered.

Arkansas State at Memphis: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameArkansas State1 gameMemphis1 game
Points+0.5+12.7
Points allowed+8.5−0.4
Total offense, yards+67+128
Total defense, yards+56+88
Touchdowns+0.6+2.4
Passer rating+21.7+59.2
Third downs+16.7%+14.4%
Sacks−0.9+1.0
Penalty yards−18.9−10.7
Turnovers forced+0.8+2.7
Turnovers lost+2.6+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Memphis

Arkansas State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Memphis leads the series 21–6–3 since 1975. Memphis has won the last 6. Memphis has won 13 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Memphis had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 5, 2026at MemphisMemphis 42, Arkansas State 24
Sep 9, 2023at Arkansas StateMemphis 37, Arkansas State 3
Sep 17, 2022at MemphisMemphis 44, Arkansas State 32
Sep 11, 2021at Arkansas StateMemphis 55, Arkansas State 50
Sep 5, 2020at MemphisMemphis 37, Arkansas State 24
Sep 21, 2013at MemphisMemphis 31, Arkansas State 7
Sep 8, 2012at Arkansas StateArkansas State 33, Memphis 28
Sep 10, 2011at Arkansas StateArkansas State 47, Memphis 3
Sep 27, 2008at MemphisMemphis 29, Arkansas State 17
Sep 27, 2007at Arkansas StateArkansas State 35, Memphis 31

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 4, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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