Putting Up Numbers· college football

TCU vs North Carolina

Sat, Aug 29, 2026

North Carolina 15, TCU 10TCU was favored by 7.5, and North Carolina covered.

TCU vs North Carolina: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTCU1 gameNorth Carolina1 game
Points−16.7−4.3
Points allowed−10.2−13.9
Total offense, yards−89−6
Total defense, yards−25−73
Touchdowns−2.2−1.2
Passer rating−31.0+1.0
Third downs+3.1%−10.5%
Sacks+0.7+0.5
Penalty yards+35.5−33.9
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

North Carolina

TCU

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • North Carolina had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • TCU had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Aug 29, 2026neutralNorth Carolina 15, TCU 10
Sep 1, 2025at North CarolinaTCU 48, North Carolina 14
Oct 4, 1997at TCUNorth Carolina 31, TCU 10
Sep 3, 1994at North CarolinaNorth Carolina 27, TCU 17
Oct 12, 1940at North CarolinaNorth Carolina 21, TCU 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Aug 28, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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