Putting Up Numbers· college football

Hawaii @ Stanford

Sat, Aug 29, 2026

Stanford 37, Hawaii 27Stanford was favored by 4.5, and Stanford covered.

Hawaii at Stanford: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameHawaii1 gameStanford1 game
Points−6.8+9.4
Points allowed+15.3+8.6
Total offense, yards−112+87
Total defense, yards+107−22
Touchdowns−0.4+0.8
Passer rating−29.2+15.7
Third downs−2.1%+5.2%
Sacks−0.9−0.4
Penalty yards−26.0+0.6
Turnovers forced−1.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2−1.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Stanford

Hawaii

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Hawaii

  • Hawaii’s points allowed were 13.3 lower at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 136th of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 11.7 over expected.
  • Hawaii had covered 10 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Hawaii had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

If you squint

  • Hawaii had covered 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Hawaii had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Aug 29, 2026at StanfordStanford 37, Hawaii 27
Aug 23, 2025at HawaiiHawaii 23, Stanford 20
Sep 1, 2023at HawaiiStanford 37, Hawaii 24
Dec 2, 1972at HawaiiStanford 39, Hawaii 7
Jan 2, 1950at HawaiiStanford 74, Hawaii 20
Dec 23, 1946at HawaiiStanford 18, Hawaii 7

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Aug 28, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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