Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Mammoth @ Maple Leafs

Tue, Nov 3, 2026

Mammoth 3, Maple Leafs 2

Mammoth at Maple Leafs: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameMammoth1 gameMaple Leafs1 game
Goals−0.19−1.28
Goals against−1.37−0.26
Shots+8.0+2.9
Shots against+0.5+7.5
Power-play goals+1.42−0.81
Power-play goals allowed−0.80+1.16
Penalty minutes−5.4−3.6

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Maple Leafs

Mammoth

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • The series is tied 3–3 since 2024-25. The Mammoth have won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Against a team over .500, the Maple Leafs' shots against were 7.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.9 over expected.
  • Against a team over .500, the Mammoth's penalty minutes were 8.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.5 under expected.
  • On the road, the Mammoth's power-play goals were 0.69 over expected in 9 games. 9 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.26 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 3, 2026at Maple LeafsMammoth 3, Maple Leafs 2
Oct 13, 2026at MammothMammoth 5, Maple Leafs 4
Jan 13, 2026at MammothMammoth 6, Maple Leafs 1
Nov 5, 2025at Maple LeafsMaple Leafs 5, Mammoth 3
Mar 10, 2025at MammothMaple Leafs 4, Mammoth 3
Nov 24, 2024at Maple LeafsMaple Leafs 3, Mammoth 2

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Nov 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.