Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Mammoth @ Flyers

Sun, Nov 1, 2026

Flyers 6, Mammoth 3

Mammoth at Flyers: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameMammoth1 gameFlyers1 game
Goals−0.22+2.74
Goals against+3.16−0.29
Shots−6.3−5.8
Shots against−4.3−6.8
Power-play goals+1.35−0.83
Power-play goals allowed−0.66+1.06
Penalty minutes+3.5+9.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Flyers

Mammoth

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • The Flyers had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Against a team over .500, the Flyers’ goal differential was 2.66 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.43 over expected.
  • Against a team at .500 or under, the Mammoth’s shots were 7.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.5 under expected.
  • On the road, the Mammoth’s power-play goals were 0.56 over expected in 8 games. 8 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.09 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 1, 2026at FlyersFlyers 6, Mammoth 3
Mar 5, 2026at FlyersMammoth 3, Flyers 0
Jan 21, 2026at MammothMammoth 5, Flyers 4
Feb 4, 2025at MammothMammoth 3, Flyers 2
Dec 8, 2024at FlyersMammoth 4, Flyers 2

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 31, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.