Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Flyers @ Flames

Sun, Nov 8

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Flyers at Flames: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameFlyers18 gamesFlames16 games
−1.01−0.81
+0.13+0.13
−3.4+0.2
+1.3+2.7
−0.23−0.06
−0.03−0.28
+0.1+1.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Flames

  • The Flames’ goal differential is 1.07 higher at home than away against expected over their last 165 games, 1st of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →
  • The Flames have won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →

The series

  • The Flyers lead the series 70–62–12 since 1972-73. The Flames have won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Against a team at .500 or under, the Flames’ shots are 7.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • At home, the Flames’ power-play goals are 0.31 over expected in 8 games. 8 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a team at .500 or under, the Flyers’ power-play goals are 1.28 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • On the road, the Flyers’ goals are 1.28 under expected in 8 games. 8 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Dec 31, 2025at FlamesFlames 5, Flyers 1
Nov 2, 2025at FlyersFlames 2, Flyers 1
Mar 4, 2025at FlyersFlames 6, Flyers 3
Oct 12, 2024at FlamesFlames 6, Flyers 3
Jan 6, 2024at FlyersFlyers 3, Flames 2
Dec 31, 2023at FlamesFlames 4, Flyers 3
Feb 20, 2023at FlamesFlyers 4, Flames 3
Nov 21, 2022at FlyersFlames 5, Flyers 2
Nov 16, 2021at FlyersFlyers 2, Flames 1
Oct 30, 2021at FlamesFlames 4, Flyers 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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